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BogEnou 09-02-038 |
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Enough. True
Measures of Money, Business, and Life John C.
Bogle John Wiley
& Sons, 2009, 276 pp., ISBN 978-0-470-39851-7 |
John Bogle is the 79-year old founder of the
Vanguard Mutual Fund Group. In this
book he reflects on the changing values of money, business, and life and
points us back to the character and morals reflected in our country's
founders and the world's wisdom literature.
He begins with a brief piece
from the June 10, 2008 issues of the New York Times written by David
Brooks. I will quote from it. "The people who created
this country built a moral structure around money. The Puritan legacy inhibited luxury and
self-indulgence. Benjamin Franklin
spread a practical gospel that emphasized hard work, temperance, and
frugality. … Over the past 30 years, much of that has
been shredded. … The institutions that
encourage debt and living for the moment have been strengthened. …But the most rampant decadence today is
financial decadence, the trampling of decent norms about how to use and
harness money." At a
party given by a billionaire on Shelter Island, Kurt Vonnegut informs his
pal, Joseph Heller, that their host…had made more money in a single day than
Heller had earned from his wildly popular novel…. Heller responds, "Yes, but I have something
he will never have … enough." (Introduction) "But the rampant greed that threatens to
overwhelm our financial system and corporate world runs deeper than
money. Not knowing what enough is
subverts our professional values."
"We chase the false rabbits of success; we too often bow down at
the altar of the transitory and finally meaningless and fail to cherish what
is beyond calculation, indeed eternal." (2) "In business, we place too much emphasis on
what can be counted and not nearly enough on trusting and being
trusted." We have too much
marketing and not enough stewardship.
We allow the illusory to triumph over the real. We focus too much on success and not enough
on character. (23) 1. Too Much Cost, Not Enough Value The Relentless Rules of Humble Arithmetic (3 of 4): •
The gross return generated minus the costs
of the financial system equals the net return to investors. •
The more the financial system takes, the
less the investor makes. •
The investor feeds at the bottom of what
is a tremendously costly food chain of investing. (30) "On balance, the financial system subtracts
value from our society. Those are the
modern realities of our financial system…." (30) Far too many of us don't produce anything;
we're merely trading pieces of paper. (31)
When you invest for retirement, do so in a way
that minimizes the extraction by the financial community: invest in low-cost
U.S. and global stock market index funds. (33) By the end of 2007, financial sector earnings had
plummeted by almost half. The financial
sector accounted for 90% of the S&P 500 decline in earnings for the
year. Yet most investment banking
executives continue to be paid at astonishingly high levels. "For the most part, what is good for
the financial industry is bad for you." (35) In 2007 the 50 highest-paid hedge fund managers
together earned $29 billion. (38) Note
the disconnect between cost and value in our financial system. (41) "Today, if fund managers can claim to
be wizards at anything, it is in extracting money from investors." The total costs that investors incur in our
nation's system of financial intermediation come to roughly $620 billion
annually. These billions are paid by
investors. (44-5) Our financial system carries far too much
cost and doesn't create nearly enough value for market participants. (48) 2. Too Much Speculation, Not Enough Investment "Investing is all about the long-term
ownership of businesses. Business
focuses on the gradual accumulation of intrinsic value…" "Business adds value to our society,
and to the wealth of our investors." (49) Speculation is the opposite. (50) Markets driven by speculators produce high
volatility. It is unhealthy for
investors. The stock market is a giant
distraction from the business of investing. (54) "In the real market of business, real
companies spend real money and hire real people and invest in real capital
equipment, to make real products and provide real services." … "In the expectations market, by
contrast, prices are set, not by the realities of business just described,
but by the expectations of investors." (54) As a total group, "Investors win;
speculators lose." There is no way around it." (57) A speculative mind-set encourages investors
to ignore the inevitable and discount the probability of the improbable. And then there comes a black market
day. (58) "There is no reason whatsoever to
expect that just because an event has never happened before, it can't happen
in the future." (59) 3. Too Much Complexity, Not Enough Simplicity Simplicity is a key to successful investing. Financial institutions favor the complex
and costly. Innovation in finance is
designed to benefit those who create the complex new products. The middlemen
reap the rewards. Returns from a simple, broadly diversified
portfolio of stocks and bonds over a decade may be expected to average about
7 and 5 % respectively. The churn of fund innovation produces a
plethora of management, advisory, and transaction fees. "Most investors
would be better off in an index fund." (79) "The most productive investing is the
simplest investing, the most peaceable investing, the lowest-cost investing,
the most tax-efficient investing--investing with the most consistent
strategies and over the longest time horizon." (82) 4. Too Much Counting, Not Enough Trust "Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything
that can be counted counts." (98, quoting Neil Postman) "No business can trust everything and count
nothing. Nor can any business count
everything and trust nothing. It's all
a question of balance…. Statistics--in
charts, graphs, and tables--can be used to prove almost anything in business,
but unquantifiable values have a way of holding steady as a rock."
(98) We place far too much trust in numbers. Numbers are not reality. We also rely too
heavily on history and our optimistic bias leads us to misinterpret the
data. We are also grossly misled by
government data that badly distorts the national output (gross domestic
product), unemployment and inflation. "Our financial system has, in substance,
challenged our corporations to produce earnings growth that is, in truth,
unsustainable. When corporations fail
to meet their numeric targets…they are compelled to do it in other ways: ways
that often subtract value from you, from me, and from society."
(110) "Many companies that count (financial institutions) have acquired companies that make (production companies), and the
results have been devastating.
(113) 5. Too Much Business Conduct, Not Enough
Professional Conduct Our professions have gradually been subjected to
a whole new set of pressures. The idea
of having a calling has been undermined by potent market forces. "The primary feature of any profession [is] to serve responsibly,
selflessly, and wisely…and to establish [an] inherently ethical relationship
between the professional and the general society." (122, quoting
Daedalus) The conduct of a true professional is to create
value for society rather than extract it. (123) However, professional relationships with clients
have become business relationships where every user of services is a customer
and every provider a seller. When the
provider becomes a hammer, the customer is seen as a nail. (125) "But as so many of our nation's proudest
professions gradually shift their traditional balance away from that of
trusted professions serving the interests of their clients of the community
and toward that of commercial enterprises seeking competitive advantage, the
human beings who rely on those services are the losers." (125) Adam Smith wrote, "Managers of other people's money[rarely]
watch over it with the same anxious vigilance with which…they watch over
their own…" (129) "In business, it seems that there is no such
thing as 'enough,' while in the professions, money is, at least in the ideal,
subservient to ethical standards and service to the general society. Today, compensation of our business leaders
has gone through the roof. Yet it's
hard to see that the CEOs of our great corporations, as a group, have added
much value to the natural growth of our economy." (130) CEOs are paid with other people's money. 6. Too Much Salesmanship, Not Enough
Stewardship The fund industry has significantly changed its
investment focus to equity funds (about 35% of all U.S. stocks in 2008). Fund investors don't just pick funds, they
trade them. All this innovation and
trading has greatly increased the costs, which constitutes a major drag on
the returns earned by investors. Money managers are seeking the highest
return on their own capital rather than that of their shareholders. "What is good for the fund industry is
generally bad for fund shareholders." (146) "While we drown in innovation, we starve for
introspection…" (148) "What
I'm ultimately looking for is an industry that is focused on stewardship--the
prudent handling of other people's money solely in the interests of our
investors…." (156) 7. Too Much Management, Not Enough Leadership 8. Too Much Focus on Things, Not Enough Focus
on Commitment "What are
the things by which we should measure our lives?" It is easy to fall into the trap of
measuring the accumulation of material things. (184)
What you have may come and go but who you are--your character--will
endure. (186) "Commitment and boldness--these are among
the things that truly matter, the things by which we can measure our
lives…." (189) 9. Too Many Twenty-First-Century Values, Not
Enough Eighteenth-Century Values "Soon we shall know everything the 18th century didn't
know, and nothing that it did, and it will be hard to live with us." (194, quoting Neil Postman) "I would argue that we have moved away from truth…to truthiness, the presentation of ideas and numbers that convey
neither more nor less than what we wish to believe in our own self-interest,
and persuade others to believe, too." (195) "…we are surrounded by information, but
increasingly cut off from knowledge.
Facts (or, more often, factoids) are everywhere. But wisdom--the kind of wisdom that was
rife in the age of this nation's Founding Fathers--is in short supply."
(195) "To paraphrase Neil Postman's essential
message, soon we shall know everything that doesn't count, and nothing that
does." (196) 10. Too Much "Success," Not Enough
Character From a New
York Times essay in November 2004 by David Brooks "Highly educated young people are tutored, taught, and monitored
in all aspects of their lives, except the most important, which is
character-building. But without
character and courage, nothing else lasts." (221-22) |
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